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The Short Report โ€” Greater Eastside Market, July 2026
The Short Report ยท Issue No. 14

Two markets,
one region.

Bellevue ยท Kirkland ยท Redmond ยท Clyde Hill ยท The Eastside
July 2026
STORY A Affordable / job-access metros STORY B Overheated 2020โ€“22 markets
The Eastside is living Story B.

The national market is splitting in two โ€” one story for affordable, job-access metros, and another for the markets that ran hottest from 2020–22. The Eastside is squarely in the second group. Here's what the numbers said in May, and what they mean if you're buying or selling in the next 90 days.

1,660
+34.4% YoY
Active Listings
~520
Weakest since 2008
May Pending Sales
2.69
+58.1% YoY
Months of Inventory
$1.45M
−6.7% YoY
Median Sale Price
The Zestimate Problem

Your automated valuation is lying to you โ€” politely.

Zillow's Zestimate typically runs 10–20% above what a home will actually close for in a market like this one. In a rising-inventory environment, that gap doesn't shrink โ€” it widens, because algorithms lag behind real-time buyer behavior.

The result: sellers walk into pricing conversations expecting a number the market already stopped supporting weeks ago.

Case Study โ€” Newport Hills

What happens when the price is right, not hopeful.

List Price
$1.35M
Closed Price
$1.601M
9 offers 6 days on market +18.6% over list

This is the paradox of a bifurcated market: pricing slightly under the number a Zestimate would suggest doesn't leave money on the table โ€” it creates the competitive tension that pushes the final price above it. Priced hopeful, this home sits. Priced right, it sold in less than a week for nearly $250K over ask.

What this means for you

If you're selling

Precision beats hope.

With inventory up 34% and pending sales at a 17-year seasonal low, "list high and see what happens" is the strategy that produces 45+ days on market and a price cut. A disciplined, data-backed pricing strategy is what produces the Newport Hills outcome instead.

If you're buying

You have leverage โ€” use it.

Months of inventory are climbing at their fastest pace since 2011. That's not a headline, it's negotiating room: on price, on terms, on contingencies. The buyers winning right now are the ones who know which listings are overpriced and stale versus genuinely well-priced.

How I price and position every listing

The 5P Framework

Preparation Presentation Promotion Pricing Partnership
Let's Talk Numbers

Curious what this means for your street?

Every micro-market on the Eastside is moving at a different speed right now. I'll give you the real read on yours โ€” no pressure, just the data.

Nate Short
Coldwell Banker Bain ยท CLHMS, CHPC ยท West Bellevue Specialist
nateshort.com · The Short Report, Issue No. 14 · July 2026